Real impact of the 2026 Cup
The Center for Economic Studies of the Private Sector (CEESP) described the economic impact of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Mexico as “reduced.” The spill initially estimated at 0.5% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was finally located at 0.1%.
Domestic consumption, investment in infrastructure and tourism did not register significant increases. Only employment showed a rebound: 61,000 formal jobs were created in June, after a loss of 29,922 in May.
“Apparently the expectations that were held as an economic benefit for Mexico did not materialize,” stated the CEESP.
The previous official estimate pointed to a spill of 3 billion dollars during the tournament, from June 11 to July 19. However, calculations by the Deloitte firm indicate that the figure was 2,543 million dollars, 7% lower than its own projection.
By entity, the highest benefits were concentrated in Mexico City (548 million dollars), Jalisco (290 million) and Monterrey (270 million). The gastronomic sector reported 584 million dollars, but Canirac indicated that only 3 out of 10 establishments saw profits.
The Inegi reported that private consumption in June grew just 0.1% monthly, below the 0.4% in May.
The CEESP recalled that the effect of the World Cup was seen as temporary. Private sector specialists, according to the Banco de México Expectations Survey, forecast GDP growth of 0.90% for the second quarter, 0.47% for the third and 0.55% for the last. This implies an annual advance of only 1.07%, two hundredths less than the previous forecast.




