Possible formation of the first cyclone
The National Meteorological Service (SMN) maintains surveillance over a low pressure area southwest of Baja California Sur. The system has an 80% chance of becoming a cyclone in the next seven days, which would make it the first of the season, named “Amanda.” It could generate high waves, intense winds and rain in several states.
According to the SMN, between 18 and 21 tropical systems are expected in the Pacific this season. Of them, between 4 and 5 would reach major hurricane category (3, 4 or 5), and between 9 and 10 would be tropical storms. In the Atlantic, the forecast is for 11 to 15 systems, with 1 or 2 high category hurricanes.
The El Niño-Southern Oscillation phenomenon will strengthen during the peak of the season, from May to July.
No risk for Mexican coasts
The National Hurricane Center expects the broad area of low pressure to develop early next week. Environmental conditions are favorable for it to evolve into a tropical depression and then into a storm. However, the SMN clarifies that this system does not represent a danger to the country’s coasts. However, it will remain under monitoring for possible changes in its trajectory.
Meanwhile, a heat wave affects northern states such as Sonora, Chihuahua, Durango, Sinaloa and Jalisco, with temperatures of 40 to 45 degrees Celsius. In the south and southeast, the interaction of the cyclonic circulation with tropical wave number 3 will cause heavy rains, electric shocks and hail in Chiapas, Oaxaca, Guerrero, Quintana Roo, Tabasco and Campeche.




