Hormuz on the brink: new escalation between Iran and the US shakes global trade

The fragile truce in the Strait of Hormuz is faltering after new attacks and crossed accusations.

The calm was just smoke

The ceasefire in the Strait of Hormuz seemed like a mirage. And now, Washington made its move: it tried to force the reopening of the passage for commercial ships. The result? United Arab Emirates reports missiles and drones that they say came from Iran. The tension rose several degrees.

“The situation in the strait could enter a new equation if external pressures continue” — Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, speaker of the Iranian Parliament.

Two versions, one broken reality

On the American side, the army assures that two ships flying the US flag crossed the strait without problems, as part of the “Project Freedom” operation. They say they sank small Iranian boats that were a threat. But in Tehran, state media denies everything: they claim that civilians died when they hit cargo ships.

RelatedTrump imposes 50% tariff on India for buying Russian oil

Who to believe? Difficult. But what is concrete is that the global oil trade is already feeling the blow. The Strait of Hormuz is the planet’s energy bottleneck.

India and the Emirates, in the line of fire

The United Arab Emirates not only reports attacks: also damage to oil facilities. And Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi condemned everything and called for guarantees for shipping. Indirect negotiations between Iran and the US are advancing, but at a snail’s pace.

“Both countries must avoid an escalation that would drag them back into open conflict” — Abbas Araghchi, Iranian Foreign Minister.

Provocation or defense?

The US military intensifies operations in the area, protecting its ships. Iran reads it as a direct provocation. And meanwhile, families in the region are wondering if this is going to break out again. Because when oil tanks shake, the consequences reach everywhere.

New bombings in Iran raise regional tension

Attacks without responsibility attributed after end of US offensive.

Attacks without recognized authorship

A new series of bombings against southern Iran increased uncertainty in the Middle East. They occurred on Thursday, as the country prepared to pay tribute to the late Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

According to official reports, the explosions reached the provinces of Bushehr and Sistan and Balochistan, as well as the cities of Ahvaz and Chabahar. Hours earlier, the United States Central Command had announced the end of a military operation that impacted 90 strategic objectives, but did not comment on these new attacks.

So far, no country or group has claimed responsibility for the bombings. The Iranian authorities avoided pointing out anyone directly responsible, although they issued warnings against the United Arab Emirates for alleged support for the US campaign.

Iranian response and replicas

In response, Iran launched a missile offensive against Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait and Qatar. The anti-aircraft alarms were activated and the population sought refuge. Kuwaiti authorities reported at least one person injured, while defense systems intercepted projectiles.

US President Donald Trump reiterated that the military conflict had ended and that negotiations for a permanent agreement would continue. But the escalation once again put the fragile ceasefire at risk.

The Strait of Hormuz in suspense

The tension keeps the Persian Gulf countries on alert due to the Strait of Hormuz, through which about a fifth of the world’s oil and gas trade passes. Iran insists on exercising exclusive control and proposes charging fees to vessels. The United States recommends an alternative route through Omani waters. Maritime traffic decreased significantly.

Israel also did not claim responsibility for the attacks, although Defense Minister Israel Katz warned that his country is prepared to act again if it deems necessary. From Tehran, legislator Esmail Kousari accused the United Arab Emirates of collaborating with the United States and assured:

“He will pay the price”

With crossed threats, attacks without confirmed perpetrator and the dispute over the strait, the Middle East faces a scenario of high tension, despite diplomatic efforts.

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Cuts affect a million women in humanitarian crises

One million women lose access to aid due to international cuts

Impact of funding cuts

At least one million women and girls have been left without access to humanitarian aid and essential services over the past 18 months. This was warned by UN Women this Friday, pointing out that the reduction in international resources especially affects those living in contexts of conflict, displacement and humanitarian crises.

According to the organization, 84% of women’s organizations consulted reported an increase in care needs since January 2025. At that time, the government of US President Donald Trump began to cut foreign aid. In addition, almost nine in ten organizations stated that they no longer have sufficient funds to respond to the demand for support.

The situation is critical. Women and girls in conflict zones are the most vulnerable to these cuts. Without financing, health, protection and food assistance programs are interrupted. UN Women urgently called on the international community to restore funding and prevent a further humanitarian crisis.

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Trump removes two Democrats from the federal Election Commission

American president justifies the measure in search of greater security in the elections.

Trump removes two Democratic EAC commissioners

Donald Trump removed two Democratic members from the Electoral Assistance Commission (EAC), the federal body that supports the organization of elections in the United States.

The decision reactivated the debate about the independence of electoral institutions and the limits of presidential power.

The White House justified the measure by pointing out that the president has the power to remove officials who are not aligned with his strategy to guarantee electoral integrity.

The officials removed were Thomas Hicks and Benjamin Hovland, who were part of the bipartisan commission.

The action comes after the Supreme Court recently strengthened the president’s powers to dismiss members of independent agencies.

The Trump administration maintains that it seeks to strengthen electoral security, especially in verifying the citizenship of those who request to register to vote.

The EAC had previously rejected modifying the national voter registration form to require documents proving US citizenship. That proposal was promoted by Trump through an executive order, but a federal judge blocked it, considering that the Constitution reserves the authority to administer electoral processes to Congress and the states.

Democratic legislators accused the president of trying to politicize the electoral system months before the midterm legislative elections.

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