The United States promises to stop arms trafficking to Mexico

The White House promises to strengthen border controls while analysts doubt the real effectiveness of the new security pact.

A promise we have heard before, but now with the name of a movie mission

It seems that the US administration has discovered fire, warm water and that weapons, surprise, cross the border. In an announcement that left us all speechless (from yawning so much), President Claudia Sheinbaum revealed that the United States has finally deigned to recognize what Mexico has been saying for decades: there is uncontrolled illegal arms trafficking. And your solution? A brilliant operation called “Firewall Mission”, a name that suggests more of a video game than a serious strategy against organized crime.

On Friday, in the glamorous border city of McAllen, Texas – because nothing says “we’re serious” like meeting in a place that looks like the set of a narco movie – the US-Mexico Security Implementation Group held its first meeting. Sheinbaum, with an optimism that would deserve an award, declared: “For the first time the United States recognizes that it has to carry out operations to control weapons.” Take it now! All it took was thousands of deaths, decades of violence, and for the problem to get so out of hand that they even had to invent missions with epic names.

RelatedMexico and the United States establish security cooperation program

The irony of tariffs: punish with one hand and promise to cooperate with the other

While President Donald Trump announced new levies that seem designed specifically to spite Mexico – 100% for medicines, because who needs to save lives when you can win a trade war? –, his administration promised security cooperation. The Mexican president, with a patience that would make a saint blush, commented that her government is in conversations with Washington and hopes that “there will be a consideration.” Translation: “Please, gentlemen, could you stop tripping us up while we try to work together?”

But not everything is joy and confetti in this bilateral circus. Security analyst David Saucedo had the audacity to express doubts, suggesting that this could be another smokescreen. In a statement that should be framed, he said: “I have the impression that in reality the bulk of the cooperation between Mexico and the United States is not to combat arms trafficking, but to achieve greater cooperation between Mexico and the United States to control illegal drug shipments.” Whoa, whoa, someone dares to question the official narrative. What a rebel.

The miraculous technology that will solve everything (according to them)

The United States Embassy in Mexico announced with great fanfare that Mexican authorities will use the eTrace system – developed by the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives – to track firearms. Because nothing says “mutual trust” like giving your neighbor an app to track the things you illegally sold them yourself. This wonderful system allows you to submit weapons trace requests and store results electronically. Isn’t it moving? It’s like putting GPS on the bullets that have already been fired at you.

As part of this revolutionary agreement, the United States will intensify inspections and coordination with Mexico. What they do not specify is whether these inspections will be more effective than those that allowed, according to a report from the US Department of Justice, 74% of the weapons recovered in Mexico between 2017 and 2021 to come from the United States. Basic mathematics: if three out of four weapons come from the north, perhaps the problem is not that Mexico does not know how to track them, but that the United States does not know how to stop producing them and selling them as if they were candy.

The elephant in the room: the lawsuit that no one wants to mention

In 2021, during the government of former President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, Mexico had the audacity to sue several American distributors, holding them responsible for the flow of illegal weapons and negligent business practices. The audacity, right? They were asking for compensation of at least $10 billion – an amount that is probably only what these companies earn on a weekend of special promotions.

But, surprise, a US judge has already dismissed one of the two lawsuits and the US Supreme Court unanimously blocked the Mexican government’s lawsuit. Because, let’s face it, who in their right mind would expect US courts to allow Mexico to win a lawsuit against the arms industry? That would be like expecting sharks to vote to ban swimming.

Other measures that sound good on paper

The authorities of both countries, in a burst of creativity, also committed to strengthening the exchange of information and creating a “secure platform” to intercept illicit drugs, chemical precursors, firearms and illicit fuels. Basically, they promised to do what they should have been doing for twenty years, but now with a cooler name and probably better graphic design.

Meanwhile, Trump continues to designate Mexican cartels as “terrorist organizations” – because labeling problems is always easier than solving them – and the Mexican Ministry of Foreign Affairs announces the creation of a bilateral working group to combat cross-border illicit finances. Because nothing combats organized crime better than another commission, another working group and another information-sharing platform. I’m sure the bosses are shaking.

In short, we have renewed promises, new technology for old problems, and the same old dynamic: while one side demands concrete action, the other offers bureaucracy with a catchy name. But hey, at least they gave it a cool name: “Firewall Mission”. It sounds like an action movie, although it probably has more of a tragicomic comedy.

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Somos México reserves 20% of candidates for activists

The new party will allocate a fifth of its spaces in Congress to seeking mothers and human rights defenders.

Nominations for activists

The leader of Somos México, Guadalupe Acosta Naranjo, announced that the party will allocate 20 percent of its candidacies to the Congress of the Union for seeking mothers and other social activists. None of the members of the National Executive Committee will hold a popularly elected position, he reiterated.

In the party’s first public event—approved by the INE on June 25—Acosta Naranjo pointed out that parties must serve society, not their bureaucracies.

“Somos México is going to reserve 20 percent of its majority and proportional representation candidacies so that searching mothers can come to the Chamber of Deputies, so that human rights defenders can come… representatives of farmers, transporters, fishermen, environmentalists, young people. They are not going to see us,” he stated.

Open selection process

Before hundreds of supporters at the Monument to the Revolution, the leader announced that a third of the candidates will be for those under 35 years of age. No candidate will be appointed by the leadership.

“None of us is going to be a candidate using the position that was given to us today for personal gain. I am not going to be a candidate for anything… When there are two or more candidates, we are going to put ballot boxes in public squares. The citizens will choose those who represent us,” he declared.

Acosta Naranjo warned that they will defend until the last moments the name, colors and emblem of the party, approved by the INE, despite the fact that the authority today asks to modify them. He argued that being called “Mexico” is valid, since there is the Green Ecologist Party of Mexico and before Fuerza por México.

On July 25, the first session of the National Council of Somos México will be held to define its country project.

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Edomex reinforces health prevention in eight eastern municipalities

Eight municipalities in Edomex join a health prevention strategy with a focus on obesity and teenage pregnancy.

Expanded coordination in the Eastern Zone

The Government of the State of Mexico intensified its work with eight municipalities in the Eastern Zone to strengthen health prevention. The priorities: combat overweight, obesity and reduce teenage pregnancies. The strategy is part of the Comprehensive Plan for the Eastern Zone and the national preventive medicine policy.

At a working table, state, federal and municipal authorities agreed to advance in the integration of the Mexican Network of Municipalities for Health, as well as in the certification process of Health Promoting Municipalities.

The state Secretary of Health, Celina Castañeda de la Lanza, explained that the objective is to coordinate actions between the three levels of government. This includes measures against addictions, vector-borne diseases and the aforementioned problems of weight and early pregnancy.

The Network will allow municipalities to exchange experiences to address local needs. Daniel Aceves Villagrán, general director of Public Health Policies of the Government of Mexico, highlighted that the model incorporates care for people with disabilities and those living with chronic diseases, especially in areas of high population density.

Representatives from Nezahualcóyotl, Naucalpan, Chimalhuacán, Valle de Chalco, Ixtapaluca, Ecatepec, Texcoco and Chicoloapan participated. These municipalities began the procedures to obtain certification as Health Promoting Municipalities, which will expand preventive actions throughout the region.

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Pemex cuts investment and production deviates from the goal

Pemex reduced its investment by 5.9% in the first quarter; crude oil production is moving away from the goal.

Pemex adjusted its spending again. The exploration and production subsidiary received a 5.9% cut in its investment capital during the first quarter compared to what was scheduled.

The approved budget was 86.7 billion pesos, but the company reported to the US Securities and Exchange Commission that it invested 81.6 billion. The difference directly affects the production platform.

Currently, Pemex extracts 1.6 million barrels per day, far from the goal of 1.8 million. Gonzalo Monroy, director of GMEC, warned:

“We are flying directly and non-stop at 1.2 million barrels per day in 2027, which means that once the water is discounted, we would be at a million extraction levels during the next year.”

Drilling rigs also decreased: from 32 to 25 between January and May, according to data from the consulting firm. So far this six-year term, 10 mixed contracts have been awarded, seven in a first block (fields such as Macavil and Tamaulipas) and three recently (Rabasa, San Ramón and Cinco Presidentes). Pemex plans to produce up to 450 thousand barrels per day with these contracts, but the developments would take place beyond 2033.

Oil vocation in question

Miriam Grunstein, an academic at the Mexico Center at Rice University, said that the situation is alarming in the short term. Pemex loses income from lower exports and from privileging feeding the National Refining System, instead of extracting more crude oil.

“Sheinbaum’s government is betting on renewable electricity generation projects. Meanwhile, the budget cut in crude oil extraction indicates that the country no longer has a conviction or vocation for oil,” he said.

Grunstein added that the difference in investment between renewable energy and exploration is enormous: “At some point we are going to face a very harsh reality. The abandonment of extraction has been so much that it is alarming.”

Agreement with Petrobras, but without teeth

The Mexican government signed a collaboration agreement with the Brazilian Petrobras to acquire extraction techniques in deep waters, where Pemex has minimal activity. It includes exchange of knowledge and best practices, but the pact is non-binding, valid for two years and renewable.

Both Monroy and Grunstein agreed that the agreement was weak. Moody’s, when lowering Mexico’s rating on May 20, expressed greater concern about government debt and support for Pemex. The agency estimated that the government provided support for 35 billion dollars in 2025, equivalent to 1.9% of GDP, and budgeted another 14 billion for 2026. An improvement in the rating will depend on reducing the deficit and contingent risks of the oil company.

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