Another year of hurricanes? What a surprise!
Ah, the Atlantic, that noisy neighbor that reminds us every year that the planet is on fire (literally). Meteorologists, those fortune tellers with supercomputers, announce that the next hurricane season will be “unusually active”, but not as active as 2024, which left half of Florida homeless and insurers with nightmares. What a relief! Only a 60% chance that it will be worse than normal. Is that good or bad? Not even they know it themselves.
Scary numbers (or not so scary)
NOAA, that agency that forecasts disasters while the government cuts its budget (because, of course, why do we need science?), predicts between 13 and 19 named storms. Of those, between six and 10 will become hurricanes, and three to five will be Category 3 or higher. That is, enough to ruin a vacation, but not enough for Elon Musk to announce an interplanetary evacuation plan. Thanks, global warming!
Ken Graham, director of the National Weather Service, summed it up with the elegance of a man who knows no one will listen until the water is up to their knees: “Everything is in place for an above-average season.” Wow, really? Do warm waters, humid atmosphere and accelerated climate change have something to do with it? What a revelation!
NOAA and its eternal optimism
Despite budget cuts (because nothing says “government efficiency” like firing those who predict catastrophes), NOAA insists that they are “ready to act.” Laura Grimm, acting administrator, enthused: “This is one of the top priorities of this government.” Of course, right after cutting their funding. Does anyone else smell the irony?
Since 1995, 21 of the last 30 seasons have been “busier than normal.” Coincidence? Not at all! It’s just that the planet is frying and hurricanes are their way of telling us: “Hey, humans, are you really still burning fossil fuels?” But don’t worry, 2025 won’t be as bad as 2024, when Hurricane Beryl appeared in June as if in a hurry to ruin the summer.
Climate change: the unwanted guest
Kristen Corbosiero, professor of meteorology, said it without mincing words: “With a warming climate, forecasting above average is always a safe bet.” Come on, it’s like betting that the sun will rise tomorrow. Warmer waters are the hurricanes’ all-you-can-eat buffet, and the Atlantic is serving up a luxurious menu.
Phil Klotzbach of Colorado State University was a little more optimistic: “At least we’re not seeing an extremely hot Atlantic like in 2024.” Thank goodness! Just “hot”, not “boiling”. Although, as Corbosiero recalled, in 1992 a single hurricane, Andrew, was enough to turn a quiet year into a historic disaster. Moral: never underestimate nature, especially when we are helping it to be more destructive.
Are you worried about hurricane season? Share this note and get ready, because the weather is unforgiving. And if you want more analysis on how climate change is shaking up the planet, explore our related content!




