Economic and social impact of returning to school in CDMX
For the 2025-2026 school year, families in Mexico City will face an estimated expense of 5,523 million pesos on educational materials, according to data from the National Chamber of Commerce, Services and Tourism (Canaco CDMX). This amount reflects an increase of 6.3% compared to the previous year, with an average disbursement per student ranging between 2,340 and 3,930 pesos, allocated to books, supplies, uniforms, footwear and technological devices.
Worrying increase in school dropouts
Vicente Gutiérrez Camposeco, president of Canaco CDMX, warned that a serious problem hides behind these figures: school dropouts reached 1.9%, which implies that 20,771 children under 15 years of age will not join the educational system. “This data exceeds the historical average of non-attendance (1.13% in the last decade), evidencing a decline in educational inclusion,” he noted. Among the causes, economic, social and health factors stand out, which demand urgent interventions by the authorities.
The analysis also reveals that the phenomenon disproportionately affects low-income households, where the purchase of materials represents up to 15% of the monthly minimum wage. Additionally, the lack of access to technology—required in 73% of public schools—aggravates the educational gap.
Commercial dynamism in the educational sector
On the other hand, the capital’s retail sector will benefit from sales concentrated in 38,450 establishments, including stationery stores, uniform stores and self-service stores. Gutiérrez Camposeco highlighted that this economic movement could generate 2.1% growth in local commerce during the third quarter of the year. However, he stressed the need for public policies that balance commercial dynamism with cost reduction for families.
Education experts agree that, without comprehensive measures—such as targeted subsidies or material reuse programs—the trend of school dropouts could escalate to 2.5% by 2026, with long-term consequences on labor productivity and social mobility.
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