School dropouts in CDMX raise family spending to 5,523 million pesos

An analysis reveals the economic and social impact of returning to school in the Mexican capital.

Economic and social impact of returning to school in CDMX

For the 2025-2026 school year, families in Mexico City will face an estimated expense of 5,523 million pesos on educational materials, according to data from the National Chamber of Commerce, Services and Tourism (Canaco CDMX). This amount reflects an increase of 6.3% compared to the previous year, with an average disbursement per student ranging between 2,340 and 3,930 pesos, allocated to books, supplies, uniforms, footwear and technological devices.

Worrying increase in school dropouts

Vicente Gutiérrez Camposeco, president of Canaco CDMX, warned that a serious problem hides behind these figures: school dropouts reached 1.9%, which implies that 20,771 children under 15 years of age will not join the educational system. “This data exceeds the historical average of non-attendance (1.13% in the last decade), evidencing a decline in educational inclusion,” he noted. Among the causes, economic, social and health factors stand out, which demand urgent interventions by the authorities.

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The analysis also reveals that the phenomenon disproportionately affects low-income households, where the purchase of materials represents up to 15% of the monthly minimum wage. Additionally, the lack of access to technology—required in 73% of public schools—aggravates the educational gap.

Commercial dynamism in the educational sector

On the other hand, the capital’s retail sector will benefit from sales concentrated in 38,450 establishments, including stationery stores, uniform stores and self-service stores. Gutiérrez Camposeco highlighted that this economic movement could generate 2.1% growth in local commerce during the third quarter of the year. However, he stressed the need for public policies that balance commercial dynamism with cost reduction for families.

Education experts agree that, without comprehensive measures—such as targeted subsidies or material reuse programs—the trend of school dropouts could escalate to 2.5% by 2026, with long-term consequences on labor productivity and social mobility.

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Sheinbaum foresees renewal of the T-MEC in 4 or 5 years

The president trusts that economic integration with the US will be difficult to break despite the tariffs.

President Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo stated that the T-MEC could be renewed within a period of four or five years, extending for another 16. During her morning conference at the National Palace, she noted that economic integration with the United States is difficult to break, despite Washington’s decision not to renew the treaty on this occasion.

“I think it will be renewed for another 16, even if it is within four or five years, because the economic integration is enormous (…). Even with the tariffs, with the tariffs, we continue to export more to the United States and we are also buying more from the United States.”

Sheinbaum rejected that the imposition of tariffs by the US is a punishment for Mexico. He attributed this to a protectionist vision of the US administration.

“No, it is a decision by the president for Canada and Mexico related to a protectionist vision of their economy, which is why he started his government with tariffs on everyone.”

Record vehicle exports

Despite tariffs, automobile exports remain high: nearly 4 million vehicles a year, of which 1.5 million are destined for the domestic market. The Chief Executive highlighted that production continues to grow.

In terms of security, he mentioned a historic reduction in human losses by June 2026, but clarified that the tariffs do not respond to that issue. Regarding tax collection, he said that “it is going well.” Sheinbaum reiterated that the T-MEC remains in force for 10 years and that the three countries can agree to its extension at any time.

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Sheinbaum announces measures for death of migrant in Houston

The president criticized the use of force in immigration operations and will announce a new diplomatic strategy.

New diplomatic strategy

President Claudia Sheinbaum reported that her government is preparing new legal and diplomatic actions following the death of Mexican Lorenzo Salgado Araujo, which occurred during an ICE operation in Houston, Texas.

In his morning conference, Sheinbaum pointed out that the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (SRE) will present the strategy in the coming days, considering that the measures taken so far have not been sufficient.

“We are preparing, I don’t know if today or tomorrow, probably tomorrow, Roberto Velasco, from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, is going to present it, because our objective is to go beyond the diplomatic notes and what we have proposed in the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights,” he declared.

The president regretted the death of another compatriot during an immigration operation. “We cannot allow the mistreatment of our brothers, our compatriots. The measures taken so far have not had the results we seek,” he expressed.

He questioned the use of force in arrests of people whose only fault is lacking immigration documents, even when they were hired by American companies. “They don’t have to be in detention centers or use violence,” he said.

Sheinbaum announced that his administration will resort to different international bodies to strengthen the defense of the rights of Mexicans in the United States. “Yes, we are preparing legal measures, obviously, in different instances. We are going to present it,” he indicated.

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FGR will report on the ‘El Mayo’ case, says Sheinbaum

The president requested a diplomatic consultation regarding the possible participation of the FBI in the arrest of the kingpin.

President Claudia Sheinbaum announced that the Attorney General’s Office (FGR) will issue official information on the case of Ismael “El Mayo” Zambada. This occurs after the FBI exhibited the aircraft used to transport the noted leader of organized crime.

In his morning conference from the National Palace, Sheinbaum explained that a consultation was requested from the United States embassy in Mexico, rather than a diplomatic note.

“Today the Prosecutor’s Office, I understand that it is going to give a press conference, we have to wait for the press conference from the Prosecutor’s Office or a statement, but they informed us that today, in relation to what we presented yesterday, it will be a statement,” he explained.

The president added that the request was “a consultation more than a diplomatic note through the United States ambassador (Ronald Johnson).” They are waiting for the response.

Aircraft data

Roberto Velasco, Secretary of Foreign Affairs, reported on Tuesday that the FGR was asked to formally request more information from the FBI about its possible participation in the arrest of Zambada and Joaquín Guzmán López, son of Joaquín “El Chapo” Guzmán, in July 2024.

Velasco indicated that communication has also been maintained with the United States Embassy regarding how the plane — in which both alleged kingpins traveled — was exhibited at the War Eagles Air Museum in Santa Teresa, New Mexico.

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