The climb that nobody wanted to see
This morning’s headlines confirm the worst. What started as a localized confrontation is now a regional fire. Israel hits Tehran. Iran responds against US bases in the Gulf. Beirut shakes again.
Witnesses described the Israeli airstrikes as particularly intense, shaking homes in the area.
The figures speak for themselves: more than 1,230 deaths in Iran, more than 120 in Lebanon. And this is just the official count for one week.
The theater expands
What is worrying is not just the whites, but the diversity. The United States attacks an Iranian drone carrier at sea. Iran launches drones against Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and Kuwait.
“Those 12 countries are not happy at all,” declared Admiral Brad Cooper of the US Central Command.
Cooper is referring to the nations hit by Iranian attacks. Their message is clear: they are looking for allies for a broader coalition.
Meanwhile, in Lebanon the situation is chaotic. Roads blocked by people fleeing. Hospitals evacuating patients.
The Israeli army urged residents to “save their lives and evacuate their homes immediately.”
Inflated rhetoric, impossible dialogue
Trump reappears with vague promises of “immunity” for Iranians who rise up against his government.
“So they will be perfectly safe with full immunity,” he declared without giving details.
But from Tehran they are closing ranks. The Iranian ambassador to Egypt was blunt with The Associated Press:
“There will be no trust in Trump,” said Mojtaba Ferdousi Pour.
The distrust is mutual and deep. Two attempts at a nuclear deal failed before this war. Now there is not even a conversation table.
What’s coming (and it hurts)
The US military commanders do not dissemble. Pete Hegseth, Secretary of Defense, warned bluntly:
“There are more fighter squadrons, more capabilities […] And more waves of bombers with greater frequency.”
Translation: this is going to get worse before it gets better.
As I write this, images of the burning Iranian drone carrier IRIS Shahid Bagheri are circulating in black and white. A converted ship, with a drone runway, burning somewhere in the sea.
The pattern is clear: each action generates a stronger reaction. Tehran responds by attacking countries with US troops. Washington responds by sinking ships and bombing buried facilities.
And in the middle, as always, ordinary people caught between contradictory warnings: Trump tells them to take to the streets; the US military tells them to stay home while bombs fall.
The question is no longer when this will stop, but how many more countries will be dragged into the whirlwind.




