Intensification of Flossie and alerts for the Mexican Pacific
Tropical storm Flossie has increased its activity significantly, reaching parameters that classify it as a category 1 hurricane according to the Saffir-Simpson scale. This meteorological phenomenon, located off the coasts of Michoacán and Colima, represents an imminent risk for the region. The National Meteorological Service (SMN) warns of torrential rains with accumulations exceeding 150 mm, sustained winds of 120 km/h and swells of up to six meters, conditions that could lead to flash floods and structural damage.
Critical zones and associated effects
The core of the system will most severely affect:
- Guerrero: Torrential precipitation, electrical activity and waterspouts.
- Oaxaca and Jalisco: Winds of 70 km/h and waves that will exceed 3 meters.
- Nayarit: Atmospheric instability with very heavy rains.
In addition, the interaction with Barry’s remaining low pressure will generate adverse conditions in the northeast, including Tamaulipas and Nuevo León, where intense gusts and flooding will persist.
Technical analysis and recommendations
The convergence of humidity from the Pacific and the Caribbean, added to the instability in upper layers, explains the geographical extension of the precipitation. For urban areas such as Mexico City or Puebla, moderate accumulations (20-50 mm) are forecast, while mountainous areas will face landslides. Authorities recommend:
- Avoid trips on floodable roads.
- Protect stained glass windows against possible hailstorms.
- Monitor SMN updates every three hours.
Why did Flossie intensify rapidly? Experts attribute this behavior to ocean temperatures 2°C above average, a critical factor in the formation of tropical cyclones.
48-hour outlook
It is anticipated that the hurricane will weaken its structure upon making landfall, but will maintain winds of 80 km/h until it dissipates in the center of the country. States such as Guanajuato and Querétaro will register scattered showers on Tuesday.
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