The weather forecast that no one asked for but we all need
If you are one of those who plans your outings according to the weather (or simply wants to know if your washing will dry in the sun), the researchers at the Institute of Astronomy and Meteorology (IAM) of the UdeG have just dropped the bomb: the forecast for July is here, and no, it is not as simple as “it’s going to rain” or “it’s hot.” Spoiler: nature is dramatic and capricious.
Where will the downpour fall and where will we have to perform rain rituals?
According to experts, the areas that will bear the worst (or best) share are the Central Region, the Valleys, parts of the Altos and some mountainous areas of Jalisco. Basically, if you live there, prepare for your umbrella to become your best friend. But be careful, it’s not all about getting your feet wet: in the Altos Sur and certain areas of the south and north, water will be more scarce than the likes on a tweet from your uncle-in-law.
“These deficits are in general balance, that is, just because it doesn’t rain in La Chona does not mean that the entire north is dry like an old meme,” clarified Dr. Mauricio López Reyes, meteorologist at IAM, because, apparently, even the rain has its favorites.
Guadalajara: between popcorn clouds and hot air balloons of humidity
For those who live in the Guadalajara Metropolitan Area (AMG), the prognosis is “more or less.” Between 250 and 270 mm of rain are expected, but like everything in millennial life, the distribution will be irregular. In other words, one day you drown and the next the sun melts you like ice cream in August.
And how are those clouds that look like popcorn formed? López explains it with style: “Imagine a 35°C afternoon in Guadalajara: the air rises like a hot air balloon loaded with humidity, it cools, and boom! Cumulonimbus clouds at 15 km high, where it is colder than in your ex’s heart”. Poetic, right?
The plot twist: tropical cyclones
Here’s the good thing: if a tropical cyclone decides to make a cameo near the coast, this whole forecast goes to hell. “This scenario does not include cyclones, but if one appears, we will all get wet,” López warned. Of course, forget the apocalyptic headlines: no one can predict hurricanes weeks in advance. “If someone says that there will be a category 6 mega hurricane, it is fake news,”, he stated.
In summary: July will be a month of irregular rains, possible deficits in some areas and the uncomfortable wait to see if a cyclone ruins (or saves) the outlook. So now you know, put away your sunscreen and umbrella, because the weather this month comes with mood swings.
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