Context and methodology of the analysis
According to official data from the Executive Secretariat of the National Public Security System (SESNSP), Mexico registered a 25% decrease in intentional homicides between September 2024 and April 2025, going from 86.9 to 65.3 daily cases on average. This decrease represents 21 fewer victims per day, the lowest level for the month of April in eight years. The comparative methodology includes:
- Historical series: Contrasts government periods since 2018
- Key indicators: Daily averages, geographic distribution and crime typology
- Involved variables: Federal operations and social programs
Factors behind the reduction
President Claudia Sheinbaum attributed the results to four pillars of the National Security Strategy implemented since September 2024:
- Inter-institutional coordination: Integration of 198 Peace Committees and 32 state committees
- Police intelligence: 20,000 arrests for high-impact crimes
- Arms control: 1,550 weapons seized in disarmament campaigns
- Blow to drug trafficking: Destruction of 896 clandestine laboratories
Territorial analysis and persistent challenges
52.1% of homicides are concentrated in seven entities, although with significant reductions:
| Status | Reduction | Key actions |
|---|---|---|
| Guanajuato | 48.9% | State Security Cabinet |
| Baja California | 45.8% | Northern Border Operation |
| State of Mexico | 30.7% | Joint patrols |
However, challenges persist, such as the judicial determinations that benefited 200 alleged criminals, according to reports from the SSPC. Secretary Rosa Icela Rodríguez highlighted that 1.3 million social services through the Peace Days contributed to preventing violence.
Economic impact and arms flow
The seizure of 154 tons of drugs and more than 10,000 weapons (75% of American origin) represented an economic blow to organized crime estimated at hundreds of millions of dollars. Border operations intercepted 163 kg of fentanyl, a substance linked to 70% of overdoses in the US.
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Sources: SESNSP, SSPC, Presidency of the Republic (data updated as of May 2025)




