Official optimism and the new numbers
Claudia Sheinbaum stood in front of more than a thousand businesspeople this Wednesday with a clear message: trust. At the Museum of Anthropology, the president assured that Mexico has “certainty” and called for private, national and foreign investment.
“Mexico has certainty, I can assure you. The government wants there to be investments,” said Sheinbaum Pardo.
His main argument was the strength of the peso and foreign direct investment last year. She declared herself “very optimistic” for 2026 because, according to her, we live in a “glorious, extraordinary and wonderful” country.
The data that supports (or does not) the speech
Marcelo Ebrard, Secretary of Economy, brought concrete figures. He announced that the investment portfolio for 2026 increased around 10%, going from $367.9 billion to 406.8 billion.
This leap was achieved with 298 new projects, adding a total of 2,539 initiatives. According to Ebrard, this will generate 1.63 million jobs. The promise is that all ministries will facilitate and accelerate these projects.
From Nafin and Bancomext, Roberto Lazzeri detailed specific support: guarantees of 70% for loans to MSMEs in priority sectors of Plan México, and up to 80% for first-time loans.
What employers say (and what they ask for)
José Medina Mora, from the CCE, issued a warning between the lines: “energy is the tip of the spear.” Without sufficient energy, all this promised investment could remain on paper.
Altagracia Gómez, coordinator of the Business Advisory Council, was more ambitious: they want investment to reach 25% of GDP in 2026. Their plan is to streamline procedures and reduce waiting times.
Astrea Ocampo spoke of the “small challenge” of certainty in infrastructure. Mercedes Gutiérrez Smith appreciated the dialogue but highlighted something crucial: projects must generate social impact, not just money.
Meanwhile, Sheinbaum repeats the word “certainty” as a mantra. It will be necessary to see if future numbers prove him right or if they are just promises in a museum full of history.
