The Inegi released its morning report and, surprise: general inflation moderated to 4.45% in April, falling from 4.59% in March. Sounds like good news, right? Don’t get so excited.
Because the devil, as always, is in the details. The non-underlying component – those volatile prices that ruin your budget – continues to be a pain. The tomato, although it slowed down from 42% to 19.25%, still makes you cry in the supermarket. And the chiles: the poblano rose 41.42%, the serrano 36.27%. To give you an idea, buying chili peppers is almost a luxury.
What really hurts
Premium gasoline shot up 6.16%, touching 29 pesos per liter. Of course, there is a federal agreement with gas stations so that it does not exceed 27, but we already see how those agreements are respected. LP gas rose 1.56% and the city bus 3.44%, because diesel is not forgiving. All while the Bank of Mexico meets today to decide whether to lower the 6.75% interest rate. Spoiler: A 25-point cut is expected, but at these prices, how responsible is it?
What did go down
Not to be such a spoilsport: electricity fell 14% (thanks to seasonal subsidies), air transportation 7.52%, and products such as green tomatoes, chicken, eggs and lemons had reductions. But be careful, these reliefs are temporary and do not compensate for the blow to energy and agriculture.
States in the crosshairs
Durango, Jalisco, Zacatecas, Chihuahua and Sinaloa exceeded the national inflation average. On the other hand, Tabasco, Yucatán, Campeche, Coahuila and Quintana Roo reported negative inflation. I mean, there the prices even went down. The geography of famine, as always, is an uneven map.
The data comes just when Banxico announces its rate decision. We will see if the official discourse coincides with the reality of the pocket. Because while the numbers moderate, tomatoes and gasoline continue to be the kings of the party.




